Thursday, December 19, 2013

Fed Minutes Predicts Tapering Of Quantitative Easing Program


Fed Meeting Minutes Display Strong Signs Of Economic Receovery
Housing Starts exceeded expectations and also beat October's reading of 889,000. November housing starts were posted at 1.09 million against a consensus of 963,000.

This reading is more in line with the NAHB/Wells Fargo Home builder Market Index, which reached a four month high with December's reading.

With that threat resolved and a new federal budget passed, builders can now proceed without worrying about setbacks caused by government shutdowns and legislative gridlock.

Building permits issued in November were slightly lower at 1.01 million than October's reading of 1.04 million. Viewed as an indicator of future construction, and ultimately, available homes, it is not unusual for construction and permits to slow during the winter months.

FOMC Statement And Chairman Bernanke's Last Press Conference

Throughout 2013, strong signs of economic recovery have led to predictions of the Federal Reserve tapering its quantitative easing program.

As each FOMC meeting approached, analysts predicted that the Fed would start reducing its $85 billion purchases of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities.

The asset purchases are part of the government's quantitative easing program that was implemented to keep long-term interest rates and mortgage rates low.

The cut finally came on Wednesday as the FOMC made its customary post-meeting statement. Effective in January 2014, the Fed will reduce its monthly purchases by $10 billion.

The QE purchase will be split between $40 billion in Treasury securities and $35 billion in MBS. The Fed expects that the economy will continue recovering at a moderate pace.

The FOMC statement noted that the Fed will continue monitoring inflation, which remains below the Fed's target rate of 2.00 percent, and the national unemployment rate, which remains above the Fed's target rate of 6.50 percent.

The statement noted that asset purchases are not on a predetermined course, and that the Fed will continue to closely monitor labor market conditions, inflation pressure and economic developments in the U.S. and globally.

The Fed did not change its target federal funds rate of 0.00 to 0.25 percent, and would not do so at least until unemployment falls to 6.50 percent. Changes to policy accommodation are made with the Fed's dual goal of achieving an inflation rate of 2.00 percent and achieving maximum national employment goals.

Bernanke Press Conference

Mr. Bernanke repeated key points of the FOMC statement, and noted that "highly accommodative monetary policy and waning fiscal drag" is helping with the economic recovery, but that the economy has much farther to go before it can be considered fully recovered.

Mr. Bernanke said that FOMC members saw the unemployment rate dropping from 7.00 percent in November 2013 to 6.30 to 6.60 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014. Improving labor markets and rising household spending were cited as signs of economic recovery.

Mr. Bernanke mentioned concerns about the high unemployment and underemployment rates and said that the Fed's benchmarks for unemployment and inflation would not automatically trigger reductions in its QE asset purchases.

He also said that the committee did not expect to adjust the target federal funds rate immediately after the national unemployment rate reaches 6.50 percent. 

Mr. Bernanke repeated that the Fed's actions regarding monetary policy and QE would be dependent on in-depth review of ongoing financial and economic developments, but said that further tapering of QE purchases is likely if the economy stays on its present course of moderate improvement.


For more information about the Atlanta area real estate market, please email me at ed@edshort.com or call me at 404.918.2500.


~ Ed Short, Atlanta REALTOR®











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Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Housing Market Index Shows Builder Confidence Up 23 Percent Year-Over-Year


Housing Market Index Shows Builder Confidence Up 23 Percent Year- Over- Year
According to the National Association of Homebuilders/Wells Fargo Homebuilders Market Index for December, builder confidence recovered in with a reading of 58. This surpassed both expectations of 56 and last month's reading of 54.

Analysts noted that builder confidence has steadied after the government shutdown. December's reading was the highest in four months. Dave Crowe, NAHB chief economist, said that his organization was expecting a "gradual improvement in the housing recovery" in 2014.

Any reading above 50 indicates that more builders are confident about overall housing market conditions than not.

Builder Confidence - Highest Reading Since 2005

Pent-up demand for housing is driving housing markets in spite of higher mortgage rates. Three components of builder confidence used to calculate the overall reading also rose in December. Builder confidence in current home sales rose to 64 from a reading of 58 in November; this is the highest reading since 2005.

Confidence levels in housing markets over the next six months rose to 62 from last month's reading of 60. Builder confidence also grew in the area of buyer foot traffic in new developments and gained three points to a reading of 44.

All of this is good news, but the NAHB said that a gap remains between higher home builder confidence and the rate of new home construction. A seasonal lull in home construction is not unusual especially in areas experiencing harsh weather.

More Jobs, Low Refinance Numbers Could Mean More Mortgages Available

MarketWatch analysts suggest that if the economy continues to add jobs "at a brisk pace" and mortgage lenders ease lending requirements next year, the demand for homes could further strengthen the U.S. housing market next year.  

Low numbers of refinance mortgages in 2013 may cause some lenders to loosen mortgage credit requirements, which were tightened after the housing bubble burst.

Economic News scheduled for today may provide a broader picture of economic health and likely trends for 2015. The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee will provide its expected statement after its meeting, and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will give his last press conference as Fed chair as well.

Any indication of plans to reduce the Fed's current quantitative easing program could upset financial and mortgage markets, but most economic analysts don't expect an announcement of tapering the Fed's asset purchases before next year.

Data on November Housing Starts and Building Permits will also offer clues as to how housing markets and the general economy are doing.


For more information about the Atlanta area real estate market, please email me at ed@edshort.com or call me at 404.918.2500.


~ Ed Short, Atlanta REALTOR®











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Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Picking The Perfect Holiday Tree


Picking The Perfect Holiday Tree
It's coming up on Christmas time, which means that people are decorating their home with lights and tinsel. It also means that it's time to pick a Holiday tree. If you've never had a real Holiday tree or you never seem to get it quite right, these tips and tricks can help you pick the perfect tree:

Buying Your Tree
  • Measure where you're going to place the tree in your home, from ceiling to floor.  You'll want your tree to be at least a foot shorter than the ceiling, so take a measuring tape with you when you shop for your tree.
  • When measuring for height, adjust for the star, angel or topknot that you'll be using; most can add as much as twelve inches to the height of your tree.
  • Measure the opening of your tree stand, so you know how wide the base of the tree can be.
  • The base of the tree should be straight and at least six inches long to fit nicely into your tree stand.
  • Run your fingers along the needles of the tree you're looking at, and give the tree a shake. Very few needles should fall off.
  • For the best shape, full branches, rich color and good needle retention on trees, choose a Balsam fir, Douglas fir, Fraser fir, Noble fir or Scotch pine.
  • Buy as soon as you can for the best quality, or wait longer for best price.
Taking Care Of Your Tree
  • After you get it home, cut an inch off the base so your tree can take in water more easily. Make sure the cut is straight.
  • Use a stand that holds at least one gallon of water.
  • Make sure you water your tree often. This keeps the needles from drying, as well as keeping the fragrance strong. Check the water level every few hours.
  • Don't add anything to the water - no aspirin, soda water, bleach, etc. - to keep it fresh. According to the experts, lots of plain water is best.
Keep cheerful Holiday spirit alive by having the perfect Holiday tree in your home, one that's lush and brightly decorated. Want a new home to decorate? Call me, your trusted real estate professional, today. Have a Happy Holiday!


For more information about the Atlanta area real estate market, please email me at ed@edshort.com or call me at 404.918.2500.


~ Ed Short, Atlanta REALTOR®











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Monday, December 16, 2013

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - December 16, 2013


What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - December 16 2013
Mortgage Debt Rises For First Time Since Recession

Last week was relatively quiet concerning scheduled housing-related news, but the Federal Reserve's financial accounts report, released on Monday, indicated that mortgage debt in the U.S. had increased for the first time since the first quarter (Q1) of 2008.

Mortgage debt increased by a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of $87.4 billion, or 0.90 percent. Mortgage debt remains approximately 12.00 percent below pre-recession levels.

Increasing debt is not often considered good news, but in the case of mortgage debt in today's economy, it suggests economic recovery in the form of higher home prices and fewer foreclosures.

Another instance of counter-intuitive economic results was released Tuesday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report for October.

JOLTS indicated that 2.39 million workers quit their jobs in October. This was the highest number of jobs quit since 2008. While this may appear counter-productive to a growing economy, it indicates that workers are leaving their jobs for better positions.

Mortgage Rates Fall, Federal Budget Deficit Shrinks

On Wednesday the U.S. Treasury announced that November's federal budget deficit had shrunk to -$135 billion from November 2012's deficit reading of -$172 billion. This represents a year-over-year deficit decrease of 21 percent.

Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report provided good news as average mortgage rates fell last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell from 4.46 percent to 4.42 percent. Discount points rose from the previous week's reading of 0.50 percent to 0.70 percent.

15-year fixed rate mortgage rates fell from 3.47 percent to an average reading of 3.43 percent, with discount points rising from the prior week's reading of 0.40 percent to 0.70 percent.

The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage dropped from 2.99 percent to 2.94 percent with discount points unchanged at 0.40 percent.

Lower mortgage rates are good news for home buyers facing higher home prices.

Weekly jobless claims rose last week. The previous week's reading of 300,000 new jobless claims was short-lived as the reading for new jobless claims rose to 368,000 last week and surpassed a consensus of 335,000 new jobless claims.

Financial analysts cautioned that employment data can be volatile during the holidays, and noted that the four-week average of new unemployment claims rose by 6000 to 328,750.

What's Coming Up

There are several significant releases set for housing-related news. The NAHB housing market index, Housing Starts, and Building permits indicate how current builder confidence and new construction may impact the supply of available homes.

On Wednesday, the FOMC will issue its usual statement at the conclusion of its two-day meeting. Some analysts expect an announcement concerning the Fed's quantitative easing policy; Outgoing Fed Chair Ben Bernanke is set to give a press conference after the FOMC statement.

In addition to the weekly jobless claims report and Freddie Mac's PMMS, Reports on Existing Home Sales and Leading Economic Indicators will also be released. 


For more information about the Atlanta area real estate market, please email me at ed@edshort.com or call me at 404.918.2500.


~ Ed Short, Atlanta REALTOR®











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Friday, December 13, 2013

Santa's Landing Pad, Tips For Winter Roof Maintenance


Santa’s Landing Pad, Tips For Winter Roof Maintenance
It's that time of year again when the weather outside gets frightful but the holiday cheer is delightful. You've probably got a lot on your mind during these busy winter months, but make sure that you don't neglect the roof of your home.

Taking care of your roof is an important part of home maintenance and you don't want to suffer a leak or any other problem during the cold months.

So how can you make sure that Santa and his sleigh have a solid and well-maintained landing pad when they touch down at your house this year? Here are some tips that every homeowner should know:

Check Out Your Gutters

Your gutters are an important part of your roof, because they allow water to flow away from the roof surface before it causes rot and damage. During the winter, your gutters will be more likely to get clogged with fallen leaves, snow and ice and can get blocked if they are not cleared out.

Get yourself a ladder and a friend to hold it for you and clean any leaves, debris and dirt from the gutters. Flush the gutters out with a hose afterward to ensure they are clean. If your gutters have become damaged or leaky, you can use gutter sealant or fibreglass resin to patch up the hole.

Trim Back The Trees

If you have a lot of trees and vegetation overhanging above your roof, it's a good idea to trim it back before the winter months. At the moment, it might not be touching your roof – but once it is weighted down with snow or blown around by the wind it might do some damage.

When hiring a tree trimming service, get a few different quotes from a range of contractors so that you can be sure that you are getting the right price.

Inspect Your Roof For Weak Spots

A roof inspection can save you from a lot of roof damage, which could get even more serious when the weather gets colder and wetter. Start by performing a visual inspection of the inside and outside of your roof.

Look around for any missing tiles and make sure that the gutters are allowing the water to drain freely from the roof. This can be done while walking around your property with binoculars.

If you spot something that looks suspicious, you can hire a professional roofer to take a closer look. They will be experienced and will know what to look for, so that they can find the weak spot and fit it right away. A roof inspection will cost you, but it is a lot cheaper than paying for a new roof!

These are just a few important maintenance tasks that you can perform in order to ensure that your roof is in tip top shape to welcome the winter season – and a sleigh pulled by eight tiny reindeer! For more handy tips and info about your home, contact me, your trusted real estate professional, today.


For more information about the Atlanta area real estate market, please email me at ed@edshort.com or call me at 404.918.2500.


~ Ed Short, Atlanta REALTOR®











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Thursday, December 12, 2013

Real Vs. Artificial Christmas Tree Helpful Tips


Real Vs. Artificial Christmas Tree Helpful Tips
Few questions are more important this time of year than which Christmas tree you should buy for your home.  There are some things to keep in mind when looking for the perfect Christmas tree.

Here are just a few:

Real Or Artificial Tree?

Real Christmas trees require some care; if you're planning to travel this holiday season, you may not want a live tree.  You must water the tree to make sure that it doesn’t lose its needles before Christmas day. 

The live trees are not fire resistant, the dried out pine needles can get too hot from the lights and may burst into flame.

On the other hand, there isn’t any up-keep with an artificial Christmas tree, and many look quite realistic.  The plastic Christmas trees have an added bonus of being flame retardant. 

Then, there’s the convenience of not having to go out in the cold weather to pick the tree out.

For those of you who can’t imagine Christmas without the pine needle smell, you can buy air fresheners that mimic the smell of fresh cut pine.  For some, an artificial tree is the best of both worlds.

How Big Is Too Much Tree?

Now that you’ve decided what kind of Christmas tree to buy, you have to find out how big a tree you can fit in your home.  It could be that the only thing limiting the size of your Christmas tree is your budget; in that case, your decision is easy. 

However, if you're limited on space, you’ll need to decide the best place to put your tree first.

Try to think of how the area will “frame” your Christmas tree.  Consider how much traffic goes by the area and whether there will be enough room for the presents to stay safe. 

Break out the measuring tape so you don’t have to guess when you’re on the Christmas tree lot; trees look deceptively small on the lot.  Or, if you opted for the fake Christmas tree, you’ll know exactly which box to pick out; just look for the right size.

Want to buy a home that has space for a bigger tree?  I can help.  Give me, your trusted real estate professional, a call today!


For more information about the Atlanta area real estate market, please email me at ed@edshort.com or call me at 404.918.2500.


~ Ed Short, Atlanta REALTOR®











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Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Sell Your Home Without Losing Precious Holiday Family Time


Sell Your Home Without Losing Precious Holiday Family Time
Putting your home on the market during the holiday season might seem like you're just inviting stress and frustration to come knocking on your door. However, December is a great time to sell because there are few homes on the market, buyers are serious and your house will be decorated to look nice and cozy.

With the tips below, you can get your home ready to sell and ensure important family time by having the kids help out.

Hire A Real Estate Agent

Employing a professional will allow you to unload the worries that come along with selling a home. Your real estate agent will burden the pressure — and work — of finding the perfect buyer for your home. This will free up your time to enjoy the season with your family.

Get The Kids Involved

With your house up for sale, you don't want to go too crazy with decorations. Make a day out of decorating and have the kids help you put up your more tasteful trimmings.

Then you'll be creating family memories and making your house festive for the season. Avoid any overly religious decorations and try to go for a winter theme.

Shoot A Video

Have your teenager be the cameraman while you narrate. Or, for an even more adorable virtual tour of your home, have your child describe each room. Then post the video on your home's website for buyers to view.

Not only will buyers get a feel for your home, but you'll have great memento of where you lived once you move.

Create A Cozy Retreat

Use low lighting, build a fire, play classical music and turn up the thermostat to create a snug environment that buyers and your family will enjoy. You'll make potential buyers want to linger in your inviting home. And, your family will have fond, homely memories of their last holiday season in this house.

Loosen Up

Keeping your home immaculately organized and clean can be exhausting. Remember that this time of year is all about family. So relax and enjoy yours! If you don't end up selling your home this December, then there's always next year — which is fortunately only a few days away.

Don't let the holiday rush intimidate you when it comes to selling your home. By getting your kids involved, you'll sell your house and make lasting memories of the final festive season in that home.


For more information about the Atlanta area real estate market, please email me at ed@edshort.com or call me at 404.918.2500.


~ Ed Short, Atlanta REALTOR®











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